Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.004213 0.004735 0.005325 0.006046 0.006910 0.007924 0.009220
2025-12-28 0.003601 0.004296 0.005151 0.006303 0.007851 0.009913 0.012974
2026-01-04 0.003182 0.003946 0.004942 0.006378 0.008472 0.011555 0.016742
2026-01-11 0.002849 0.003634 0.004703 0.006325 0.008851 0.012890 0.020491
2026-01-18 0.002615 0.003416 0.004545 0.006339 0.009302 0.014420 0.025184
2026-01-25 0.002388 0.003176 0.004318 0.006198 0.009455 0.015461 0.029399
2026-02-01 0.002170 0.002925 0.004044 0.005936 0.009341 0.015959 0.032666
2026-02-08 0.001984 0.002705 0.003791 0.005671 0.009166 0.016283 0.035692
2026-02-15 0.001894 0.002619 0.003738 0.005736 0.009614 0.018042 0.043773
2026-02-22 0.001779 0.002487 0.003597 0.005625 0.009693 0.018994 0.050152
2026-03-01 0.001669 0.002353 0.003441 0.005466 0.009646 0.019630 0.056017
2026-03-08 0.001576 0.002241 0.003312 0.005344 0.009655 0.020418 0.063291
2026-03-15 0.001527 0.002201 0.003313 0.005486 0.010321 0.023375 0.084893
2026-03-22 0.001494 0.002186 0.003354 0.005718 0.011267 0.027703 0.124169
2026-03-29 0.001440 0.002130 0.003316 0.005783 0.011827 0.031158 0.170165
2026-04-05 0.001375 0.002051 0.003231 0.005737 0.012089 0.033744 0.221322
2026-04-12 0.001323 0.001992 0.003177 0.005749 0.012515 0.037291 0.307826
2026-04-19 0.001260 0.001908 0.003068 0.005626 0.012532 0.039160 0.389449
2026-04-26 0.001188 0.001807 0.002920 0.005397 0.012192 0.039252 0.442846
2026-05-03 0.001122 0.001711 0.002776 0.005165 0.011804 0.038962 0.491658
2026-05-10 0.001093 0.001680 0.002757 0.005222 0.012323 0.043683 0.788299
2026-05-17 0.001049 0.001621 0.002677 0.005124 0.012332 0.045712 1.069802
2026-05-24 0.001004 0.001556 0.002583 0.004985 0.012176 0.046743 1.373049